Market Munch 🍎 | 8 September 2022

Germany crunches some coal, Russia plays with the West some more, and Jeff Bezos gets lapped by an Indian guy. πŸ”₯

Happy morning, Munchers! πŸ™

Here is your daily dose of the news that matters, from Wall Street to Dalal Street - in 5 minutes and 12 seconds.

Let’s dive in.

What’s hot, what’s not?

Market Commentary

  • Stocks and bonds both rose as traders assess the macro environment for more rate hikes.

  • US markets are pricing in a 75 basis point hike - exact percentages available here.

  • German economic activity contracted more than expected and Chinese export figures disappointed.

Story Roundup

Gas is getting pricey for Germany - so they need to go places they wouldn't like to otherwise.

Germany now relies on coal for 1/3rd of it's electricity needs.

This comes as the cost of using natural gas for electricity generation has tripled. Natural gas reliance fell about 20% to only 11%.

These numbers highlight the challenges that Europe's governments have - and just how tricky the energy crisis can be to safely navigate.

Hot stuff. (Stuff = the planet)

Russia turned off Europe's gas taps - and he won't turn them on "until the collective West" lifts sanctions.

President Putin's spokesman blamed a few countries for Russia's failure to deliver gas - including the EU, UK, US and Canada - all of which have slapped numerous sanctions on Russia.

The Kremlin yet again wants Europe to roll back embargos - and in exchange, Russia will restart full gas deliveries.

Moral of the lesson?

Don't bite the hand that feeds you.

As is with most things in life, an Indian dude comes on to the scene.

And it's happening with the Forbes lists - Gautam Adani is now the 2nd richest man in the world.

Adani's net worth has rocketed a jaw-dropping $60bn this year - the direct result of a 1,000%+ rally in Adani Group stock.

The Adani group has grown by spending a lot of borrowed money in a lot of new verticals - and it's paid off so far.

But sustainable is the name of the game. ⭐

While the US Fed will remain absolute in it's inflation fight, there is a fear that they may raise rates too much - causing unnecessary harm.

Markets rallied over this news, especially when a Fed official said that "it is important to avoid the risk of pulling back too much".

There's definitely a firm push to raise rates to bring inflation back in - but we might see muted aggressiveness.

Low rates, more party. πŸ₯³

The Sterling is in some hot water.

It's down 17% for the year as tons of people leave the UK behind over a bleak outlook.

Both Goldman Sachs and Citibank see UK inflation at over 20% by the next year - stunning figures for a developed country with a population of 60 million.

The UK has also borrowed heavily - and an acute dependence on foreign capital is all leading to soaring debt costs due to higher rates.

Cracks in the current account are turning into chasms - and stuff looks to be getting weirder.

God save the Queen.

Hope you enjoyed this issue of the Market Munch. If you've got any feedback - good or bad (😏) you can hit reply to this email. Thanks a ton for reading!

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Cheers, and have a lovely day. πŸ™

Aryaansh