Market Munch šŸŽ | 17 February 2023

Adani baba's cash crunch bit hard, Nestle sales underwhelmed markets, and Renault got wary of the EV market. šŸ”„

Happy morning, Munchers! šŸ™

As always, here is your daily dose of the news that matters, from Wall Street to Dalal Street - in 4 minutes and 53 seconds.

Yesterday, Adani ji was forced to put off acquisition plans, Nestle made markets sad with sadder sales, and Renault pointed a big finger at Tesla. šŸ”„

Letā€™s dive in.

Whatā€™s hot, whatā€™s not?

Market Commentary

  • Some volatility spread to the Lalas on Dalal Street as markets remained choppy after some mixed news coming out of earnings reports across the country. Seatbelts on, nice and tight.

  • Some super-hot wholesale inflation made stocks tick down a little. Higher prices mean that the Fed can keep their pedal on the metal when it comes to tightening the economy.

  • Stubborn inflation in the US is forcing investors to drop bets on rates being cut soon. Nature will heal - just not in the next 3-6 months. šŸ¤£

Story Roundup

Indiaā€™s richest guy (no more) is in a rush to cut costs, and itā€™s showing.

His electricity unit had to put the brakes on a $900 million power station acquisition.

Theyā€™re avoiding the purchases of big assets that will take time to earn them big bucks - which is fair, given how much scrutiny theyā€™ve been put under.

But thereā€™s one big problem with slowing growth down.

Adani baba built his empire on a debt-fuelled breakneck expansion. He bought, built, and developed everything he could lay his eyes on.

Thatā€™s why investors were okay with paying a 1000X PE multiple for his business.

In other words, he was rising to the skies hella fast. Which is fair, because a man in no hurry gets nowhere quickly.

But Adani has to slow down with his spending, that means heā€™ll have to sacrifice his growth.

And that could make some waves. The same big-ticket investors might not be comfortable shelling out these big-bucks for a faltering business.

What goes up fast, comes down even faster. šŸ˜Ø

Households are feeling the inflation pinch, and thatā€™s made them slow down spending on KitKat bars, Maggi noodles, and Nespresso pods.

All of this has pinched Nestleā€™s margins even harder - and given markets a bit of a wake-up call.

Real growth (which measures consumer choices + sales volume) declined by 2.6% while prices were hiked 10%.

Only a few items have chilled out with the inflation game, which means that Nestle is looking at a very bleak picture for the full year.

The average Joe is holding up much better than expected, but his coffers are running low.

Strap in, folks! šŸ’„

A few months back, Tesla started cutting prices for their top vehicles.

Stuff was getting out of control and customers were unwilling to splash so much cash on a life-sized battery operated Hot Wheels.

This might seem great for the 99% of people that donā€™t have a Tesla, but the 1% got very, very angry.

Cutting prices destroys value for customers and damages confidence in their vehicles.

The knock-on effect is a hit on the entire EV sector, which has caused a little grumbling between the big boys.

Renault is raising an eyebrow and have denounced Teslaā€™s price cuts.

But hey, Tesla can perform without 75% of itā€™s market cap the same way Twitter can perform without 75% off itā€™s employees. šŸ¦

Turns out that not even the Big 4 canā€™t escape economic reality.

KPMG has let go of a few teams - not massive numbers, just about 700 job cuts.

Itā€™s not a market-moving figure or anything to shake things up much, but it signals to markets that even consultants are realising that they need to realign with the market.

KPMGā€™s business outlook still remains super strong since businesses have more problems to solve today than ever before.

A little uncertainty hurt no one. šŸ˜“

What debt ceiling?

Joe Biden is waving around Americaā€™s chequebook, and Elon Musk is dancing in dollars.

The US Govt. just laid out plans for 500k EV chargers along American highways and theyā€™ve also required that all of these EV chargers be funded through their Inflation Reduction Act.

So Tesla will get a $7.5 billion bite of this juicy, juicy pie to set up Superchargers all along the US.

Do big thingsā€¦ with money that isnā€™t yours. Thatā€™s the name of the game.

Charged up. šŸ”‹

Hope you enjoyed this issue of Market Munch. If youā€™ve got any feedback - good or bad (šŸ˜) you can hit reply to this email and I'll get a ping in my inbox. Thanks a ton for reading!

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Cheers, and have a lovely day. šŸ™

- Aryaansh āš”