Market Munch šŸŽ | 10 April 2023

TikTok pulls in big bucks, Huawei takes a one-way to Saudi, and Wall Street's big boys get boxed up. šŸ”„

Happy Monday, Munchers! šŸ™

Hope you lot had a lovely weekend. Bless up, and have a great day.

As always, here is your daily dose of the news that matters, from Wall Street to Dalal Street - in 5 minutes and 17 seconds.

Yesterday, TikTokā€™s losses ticked up, Huawei ditched Dubai for Saudi, and the big boys of the banking world got sued. šŸ”„

Letā€™s dive in.

Whatā€™s hot, whatā€™s not?

Market Commentary

  • Investors are loading up on insurance against a fresh round of turmoil in the US banking sector. Earnings season is gonna start soon, so lenders are gonna be revealing just how much the SVB saga squeezed their margins.

  • The options market is saying that price swings in bank stocks may be up to 3x more than normal.

  • Not much else. The hotshots on Wall Street had a calm Easter weekend. šŸ¤·šŸ»

Story Roundup

TikTokā€™s tech titan Bytedance is now the most profitable Chinese ā€œstartupā€.

They raked in a staggering $25 billion in pure profit over the last year.

Numbers like that give a gut-punch to Chinaā€™s other tech giants - Alibaba and Tencent.

Bytedance has been eclipsing them by scale for a long time, and just overtook them in profit.

The most interesting thing though - the TikTok business unit was responsible for big losses. Showing the world cat videos and badly edited memes costs them $9 billion a year, but itā€™s a massive profit engine for the future.

TikTokā€™s growth is the most explosive out of any social network that weā€™ve seen in a long time.

The average TT user spends 95 minutes a day on the app. Multiply that by their 1.53 billion active users, and you have a BIG number.

Time is money. šŸ’°

For the longest time, Saudi soil was neglected for Dubaiā€™s deserts.

Cut to today, and it looks like the Middle Eastā€™s center of power might be shifting.

Huawei wants to put down their headquarters in Riyadh - which is a perfect example of why Saudi has been pushing so hard to open themselves up.

Saudi also announced that their government will be forbid from working with private companies who DONā€™T have a regional office in the Kingdom.

Theyā€™re also forging deeper ties with every single Eastern heavyweight - India, China, and Russia.

The game is no longer about developed and developing economies.

Itā€™s about ascending and descending ones. šŸš€

KPMG, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley.

That sounds like a finance majorā€™s list of job applications, but itā€™s actually a list of businesses that just got sued over the collapse of SVB.

KPMG was SVBā€™s auditor, and the rest were responsible for underwriting deals and selling stakes to investors.

These guys ā€œmisrepresented the strengthā€ of Silicon Valley Bankā€™s balance sheet and ā€œconcealed the magnitudeā€ of the risks taken by buying SVB stock.

Keep in mind, 75% of Wall Street ā€œanalystsā€ had a Buy rating on SVB just one week before the saga happened.

KPMGā€™s auditor report was also ā€œsilentā€ about SVBā€™s ability to keep the lights on in the office.

Every dog has his day. šŸ™ˆ

4 - a16z stays hopeful. šŸ˜…

Forget the funding winter, forget the market downturn, forget interest rates.

One of the worldā€™s biggest tech VCs thinks that there is still room for a crypto boom.

Andreessen Horowitz is gonna continue tailoring their crypto funds toward ā€œnew opportunitiesā€.

a16z has dug their claws deep into the world of crypto - which meant that 2021ā€™s beautiful outperformance ultimately resulted in 2022ā€™s crypto chaos.

They want to put their big bucks toward businesses that are building consumer-facing products.

And thatā€™s the biggest problem with ā€œweb3ā€ - the user doesnā€™t care about whether your product is ā€œblockchain-enabledā€, he just cares about his work getting done faster, easier, or cheaper.

5 - Eth gets ready to go Shanghai. šŸ‡ØšŸ‡³

April 12 is gonna be a pretty nice milestone for crypto bros across the world.

Ethereum is gonna go thru itā€™s ā€œShanghaiā€ update. Itā€™s the worldā€™s most commercially important crypto platform, and this one is a biggie.

Up until 6 months back, Eth relied on a cost-intensive, energy-intensive, and resource-intensive process to proof transactions.

This was called Proof-of-Work, where a computer had to solve a crazy difficult maths problem to verify that a transaction happened.

All of this maths-solving made Ethereum super expensive to use, so the blockchain shifted to a Proof-of-Stake system of verifying transactions.

Here, users could lock their money up with the blockchain to verify transactions and get some income in return.

About 16% of Eth supply worth $37 billion has been ā€œlocked upā€. And this Shanghai update is gonna change exactly that.

This ā€œlocked upā€ money will now be unstuck for investors.

But you donā€™t care about that.

This is what it could mean for you - investors whoā€™ve been burned by the turmoil in crypto markets might want to pull their big bucks.

If some big Eth holders run for the hills, itā€™s gonna be bye-bye crypto for a while.

RIP Crypto bros. šŸ’€

Hope you enjoyed this issue of Market Munch. If youā€™ve got any feedback - good or bad (šŸ˜) you can hit reply to this email and I'll get a ping in my inbox. Thanks a ton for reading!

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Cheers, and have a lovely day. šŸ™

- Aryaansh āš”